Global food production is expected to increase by approximately 14% over the next ten years, driven by technological improvements and productivity gains, according to the Agricultural Outlook 2024–2033 report published by the OECD and FAO.
According to the document, 80% of this growth will come from increased crop yields and animal production. However, the report warns that this growth will not be enough to eradicate hunger, as the number of people facing chronic food insecurity remains above pre-pandemic levels.
The projection also highlights that most of the production increase will come from developing countries, where food consumption expansion will be tied to population growth. In high-income countries, per capita consumption is expected to remain stable, with a slight shift toward higher-value and more sustainable foods.
The report warns of challenges such as climate change, pressure on natural resources, and geopolitical tensions, which could impact the stability of the global food system. It also underscores the need for more effective public policies to promote sustainable, resilient, and inclusive production.
