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World Beef Report 1662

  • After postponing the safeguard decision, China maintains its pessimistic tone
  • Firm tone for chilled beef prices to Europe
  • Itaú BBA projects lower cattle supply in Brazil in 2026 and firmer prices
  • Uruguayan beef production increases by more than 40 thousand tons
  • Record average export value for Uruguayan beef in November
  • Several export plants in Argentina bring holidays forward and shut down for two or three weeks
  • JBS eyes a possible return to beef production in Paraguay

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

12/3/2025

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World Beef Report 1661

  • Brazil returns strongly to the U.S. market and seeks to take advantage of the quota
  • Brazil average export price at its lowest since early June
  • CPTPP approves opening negotiations to include Uruguay in the agreement
  • Indian giant Allana Group considers building a beef plant in Argentina
  • EU postpones again EUDR implementation and opens reviews to simplify its rollout
  • 59% of China’s beef imports in October came from Brazil
  • China extended safeguard investigation by two more months

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

11/26/2025

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World Beef Report 1660

  • Clouds gather over the future of Chinese beef demand
  • Improved sentiment in Chile as Kast becomes election favorite
  • Record cattle slaughter confirmed in Brazil during the third quarter
  • Shifts in cattle supply in Uruguay heading into 2026
  • Trump rolled back tariffs on beef imports
  • Experts project strong US cattle prices through the end of the decade
  • Chinese beef imports up 18% in October

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

11/19/2025

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World Beef Report 1659

  • China International Import Expo fails to clear uncertainty in China
  • Sharp correction in Hilton chilled beef prices
  • Brazil exports to China matched September’s record
  • Slaughter at Brazilian federally inspected plants reached a peak in October
  • Cattle slaughter in Argentina increased in October, nearing July’s peak
  • The United States will continue needing large beef volumes for at least a couple more years
  • Interview - Fernando Burgueño, head of the Uruguayan stud Los Guayabos - “It’s the ideal time to bet on certified lamb”

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

11/12/2025

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World Beef Report 1658

  • Three main exporters expected to cut beef shipments by 400,000 tons in 2026
  • Hilton market shows a marked slowdown
  • Argentina’s U.S. quota expansion expected to be temporary
  • Rabobank forecasts drop in Brazilian beef production and firm prices through 2028
  • Uruguayan beef exports to the EU at a 15-year high
  • Second-highest beef export volume in Australia’s history
  • The United States was the main destination for Paraguayan beef in October

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

11/5/2025

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World Beef Report 1657

  • China lacks clear direction amid “speculation” after Trump-Lula meeting
  • Expectations over Argentina’s additional quota in the U.S. and Brazil’s possible return
  • Brazilian beef exports in October heading toward record volume
  • Lula optimistic after meeting with Trump: a “definitive solution” soon
  • Conflict resolved at Montevideo TCP port terminal
  • 5% export tax on Argentine steer beef may return in November
  • Slaughter capacity utilization in Paraguay falls to lowest level of the year in October

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

10/29/2025

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World Beef Report 1656

  • Chinese demand moves on a different track
  • Israel returns with higher prices
  • StoneX forecasts firm finished Brazilian cattle prices through the end of 2025
  • High Argentine export volumes in September, with the highest average value in three years
  • An additional quota for Argentina will not move U.S. beef prices
  • Imported beef stocks continue to grow in China
  • China: Mercosur beef imports rise by over 100,000 tons in four months

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

10/22/2025

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World Beef Report 1655

  • China market remains unresponsive
  • Hilton chilled beef prices ease after Anuga
  • Bolivia surprises with new protocol with China including offal
  • Brazil average beef export value starts October lower
  • Uruguay feedlot cattle slaughter rises more than 20%
  • Despite expectations, no trade agreement was reached yesterday between Argentina and the U.S.
  • Wholesale beef prices in China show a gradual upward trend

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

10/15/2025

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World Beef Report 1654

  • Regional exporters satisfied with the outcome of the Anuga fair
  • Record beef exports confirmed in September for Brazil
  • Another point of conflict between Marfrig and Minerva
  • China once again consolidates as Uruguay’s main beef market
  • Volume under quota 481 more than doubles the quarterly limit

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

10/8/2025

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World Beef Report 1653

  • Rumors of dumping tariff add more noise to China
  • Argentine Hilton prices soften ahead of Anuga
  • Trump-Lula rapprochement impacts U.S. market
  • Brazilian beef exports to surpass 300,000 tons per month for the first time
  • Agrifatto revised Brazil’s export outlook upwards
  • Coprodec once again denied Marfrig’s asset sale to Minerva
  • Tax cut on exports in agri products in Argentina lasted just a breath, but not for meats

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

10/1/2025

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World Beef Report 1652

  • Mercosur exports would fall by more than 250,000 tons in 2026
  • Datagro projects record cattle slaughter in Brazil in 2025, followed by a decline in 2026
  • Marfrig and BRF announced the completion of the merger process, giving rise to MBRF
  • Despite higher activity, China maintains downward pressure on prices
  • Just like the United Kingdom, Argentina could also keep part of the U.S. third-country quota
  • The Argentine government temporarily removed export taxes on grains and meat
  • Brazil, Australia and Uruguay dominate as origins in the different Chinese imported products

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

9/23/2025

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World Beef Report 1651

  • China continues to pressure for lower prices and deal closures remain difficult
  • Upward trend in chilled prices in Europe continues
  • USDA forecasts a 300,000-ton drop in Brazilian beef exports in 2026
  • For the first time more females than males were slaughtered in a quarter in Brazil
  • Record number of calves and sharp decline in the number of steers in Uruguay
  • The Argentine Government modifies foot-and-mouth vaccination scheme starting in 2026
  • China imported beef stocks continued to rise in August

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

9/17/2025

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World Beef Report 1650

  • In August, cattle slaughter in Mercosur recorded its first annual decline
  • China beef import market remains sluggish
  • Brazil shipments to China remained at peak levels in August
  • A new giant in the meat industry is born: Marfrig-BRF merger approved
  • Cattle slaughter fell in August during Auguts, but was the second highest of the year
  • With higher Mercosur share, exports to China remained strong in August
  • Sharp cut in Chinese beef import expectations

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

9/10/2025

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World Beef Report 1649

  • No change in trend in the Chinese market during the last week
  • Another upward step for chilled beef prices in the EU
  • With US exit, Brazilian beef exports to Mexico grow
  • Uruguay average beef export value just a few dollars below 2022 record
  • Paraguay beef exports up 12% in volume through August
  • Steer for slaughter prices in Argentina projected to rise 10% by year-end
  • Chilean beef imports are projected to increase in 2026

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

9/3/2025

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World Beef Report 1648

  • Chinese demand on stand-by mode
  • U.S. distorted by Customs measure on transshipments
  • Analyst forecasts a 30% increase in Brazilian slaughter cattle prices
  • This year 700-800 thousand cattle will be finished with some degree of supplementation in Uruguay
  • Argentina beef exports in July recorded the 2nd consecutive annual increase after six months below
  • Australia: historic highs for red meat production
  • Australia and Brazil increase share in Chinese imports

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

8/27/2025

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World Beef Report 1647

  • China keeps pushing to pay less
  • Chilled beef market in Europe advances and reaches yearly highs
  • Cattle slaughter in Brazil reached a record in the second quarter of 2025
  • Signs of reversal in the livestock cycle in Mato Grosso
  • Cattle herd liquidation in Argentina not over yet, says analyst
  • Maximum since January in Chinese beef imports in July
  • In China, wholesale beef prices increased by US$/kg 1 since April

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

8/20/2025

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World Beef Report 1646

  • The tug-of-war in China’s beef export market continues
  • The U.S. beef market is more active
  • Brazil shipped record beef volumes globally and to China in July
  • With July’s large production, Brazil will have a substantial beef exportable surplus this month
  • Argentina July slaughter was the highest since October 2024
  • US beef export volume in June was the lowest in five years
  • In July, a big volume of beef was shipped to China

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

8/13/2025

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World Beef Report 1645

  • Despite Brazilian resistance, China manages to push prices down
  • US market “completely frozen”
  • Brazilian beef may escape the tariff hike, says JBS CEO
  • Uruguayan beef export value reaches highest since mid-2022
  • Paraguay exports grow despite decline in some traditional destinations
  • Turkey provides state support for the purchase of pregnant heifers
  • Another record for Australian beef exports in July

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

8/6/2025

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World Beef Report 1644

  • Brazil exhausts all avenues to avoid 50% surtax in the US
  • Brazil–US factor continues to pressure China
  • July set to break all records for Brazilian beef export volumes
  • Uruguay’s cattle herd growth will be smaller than previously anticipated
  • The Argentine government lowers beef export taxes again, but it was more symbolic than an economic relief
  • The cattle herd in Argentina lost 1.23 million head over the past year
  • US cattle herd in lowest levels on record

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

7/30/2025

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World Beef Report 1643

  • Between tariffs and speculation, China “deflates”
  • U.S. demand shifting more toward Australia
  • Trump’s threat leaves 30,000 tons of Brazilian beef in limbo and plants suspend production
  • Coprodec extends deadline again for the Marfrig-Minerva deal decision in Uruguay
  • Argentine beef exports in June were the highest since November 2024
  • In June, South American beef imports to China increased while U.S. imports collapsed
  • Uruguay positioned as the top supplier of beef offal to China

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

7/23/2025

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World Beef Report 1642

  • Rumors circulate that China will impose a global beef import quota
  • The US tariff war against Brazil takes its toll on China
  • Brazil called US tariffs an “indecent action” and will seek new markets
  • INAC’s rejection of Minerva’s offer and the timeline that could jeopardize the deal
  • With no date set, Milei told producers that export taxes are the next to be eliminated
  • In China they say Argentina is one step away from accessing the beef offal market
  • Imported beef stocks in China rose again in June

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

7/16/2025

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World Beef Report 1641

  • Stability in beef sales to China
  • Major suppliers cut beef exports to the U.S. in June
  • China regains dominance in June as Brazilian beef main destination
  • The two main beef exporters shipped record volumes in the first half of the year
  • Expectations consolidate for a record number of calves in Uruguay this year
  • The Argentine government distributed the Hilton Quota among 40 packing plants and 29 joint projects
  • Sharp increase in global beef exports to China in June

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

7/9/2025

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World Beef Report 1640

  • China shows disparity in prices and demand
  • Volume registered for quota 481 nearly doubles quarterly allocation
  • Brazilian feedlot cattle numbers expected to rise 7% this year
  • Uruguay average beef export value rose 20% in the first half of the year
  • Uruguay beef exports to the U.S. at 11-month low in June
  • Argentine producer groups show first signs of discontent with the government
  • Turkey’s cattle market heats up again

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

7/2/2025

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World Beef Report 1639

  • China opened the week with a new attitude and stronger demand
  • Reduced supply and Hilton chilled prices stabilizing
  • GATT quota market remains “hot”
  • U.S. market more active in closing deals
  • Uruguay sustains grainfed beef exports to the EU
  • Argentine beef exports rose 1.4% in volume and 9.4% in value in May
  • United States felt the tariff impact in sales to China

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

6/25/2025

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World Beef Report 1638

  • Some importers attempt to pause China’s price recovery
  • U.S. beef market operating under a new dynamic
  • Meat production growth in Mercosur shows signs of exhaustion
  • Minerva seeks to block Marfrig–BRF merger
  • Japan’s market opening for Brazil would initially include five states
  • Minerva notifies Colonia sale to Allana Group for US$ 48 million
  • Argentina close to fulfilling 2024/25 Hilton quota

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

6/18/2025

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World Beef Report 1637

  • Brazil pushes for better prices from China
  • Firm closures with Israel
  • Brazil’s export pace slowed in May
  • Cow slaughter down 15% so far this year in Argentina
  • Australia’s beef exports in May were third highest on record

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

6/11/2025

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World Beef Report 1636

  • China maintains downward pressure, but some deals reflect Sial-level pricing
  • Uruguay’s monthly beef exports to the EU hit 16-year high
  • Legal dispute adds more “noise” to US tariff policy
  • Lequio acquisition to create Argentina’s largest slaughter group
  • Paraguay’s average export value reaches highest level in over a decade

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

6/4/2025

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World Beef Report 1635

  • China holds prices steady after Sial amid cautious demand
  • Fresh drop for chilled and frozen beef in Europe
  • US market remains sluggish amid “uncertainty”
  • Brazil's export value hits highest level in over two years
  • EU rates Uruguay as “low risk” for deforestation

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

5/28/2025

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World Beef Report 1634

  • Moderate volume sales at firm prices during Sial Shanghai
  • Tariff uncertainty limits Brazil’s sales to the United States
  • Algeria’s ports are full of beef
  • “There are rumors that China could move to a quota system”
  • Uruguay is “interested” in Allana entering the country, said INAC president

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

5/21/2025

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World Beef Report 1633

  • SIAL and the US hit the pause button on China
  • Chilled prices in Europe strengthen again
  • Brazilian exports up by more than 90,000 tons in the four month period
  • Brazil shipped 55,000 tons of beef to North America in April
  • Beef prices are trending higher in the three main import markets
  • The aim is to be “more ambitious”
  • Global beef exports to China remain below 200,000 tons per month

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

5/14/2025

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World Beef Report 1632

  • Trade war fallout ‘starts to bite’ in dealings with China
  • Kosher operations ramp up in the region
  • Uruguay: Beef export value at 32 month high in April
  • Uruguayan President Orsi meets India’s Allana Group
  • 84 % of Argentina Hilton quota shipped by April, completion now unlikely
  • Paraguay beef exports up 21% year on year despite drop in top market
  • Australian April beef exports surge to near-record 127,000t

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

5/7/2025

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World Beef Report 1631

  • Stable prices in China, but pressure to pay less persists
  • Mixed signals in the US
  • Brazil: Beef average export value hits highest level in more than two years
  • Brazilian processors seek more buyers for their beef in inland China
  • Heifers are the star of the Uruguayan domestic market
  • European bullock prices skyrocket 50% in the year so far
  • China’s frozen beef imports from Mercosur fall by more than 90,000 t

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

4/30/2025

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World Beef Report 1630

  • China seeks to cool rising prices
  • Negotiations with Israel move forward
  • Mercosur steer hits highest level since mid 2022
  • Brazil: Expectations of higher exports despite lower production
  • Argentine processors weigh request to scrap export taxes amid the new exchange rate
  • Argentina: March exports fell 36 % year on year
  • China should increase imports by 11% over the remainder of the year

editor: Rafael Tardáguila

4/23/2025

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