The USDA office in Beijing sharply reduced its estimate for China’s beef imports this year and projected a higher volume in 2026, although still below the 2024 record. In the update of 2025 data, the USDA office lowered beef import expectations from 3.825 million tons carcass weight to 3.4 million tons, citing weaker-than-previously-expected demand. It will be the first year of decline since the strong growth began in the middle of the past decade.
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